This is just a short piece warning next season's participants of the potential fate
that shall befall them should they not take the charity shield seriously.
The facts that I am about to lay before the jury came to my attention when a flatmate
and Man Utd fan pointed out how upbeat he was despite his side's capitulation to Arsenal in the said Community Trophy. He
pointed out that Man Utd hardly ever lost the league when they lost the Charity shield and conversely, when they won it, they
usually lost the league.
I decided to find out if my glory-hunting friend was right, and so looked up the
winners of the Charity Shield and the teams who then went on to win the Premiership. The stats made you think (or at least
they did if you were sat at work on a Saturday afternoon waiting for the results to come in so you could write up your reports).
Here is the mocked up table:
Year Charity Shield Winner Premiership
Winner
03/04 Man
Utd
Arsenal
02/03
Arsenal
Man Utd
01/02 Liverpool Arsenal
00/01
Chelsea Man
Utd
99/00 Arsenal
Man Utd
98/99
Arsenal
Man Utd
97/98 Man
Utd
Arsenal
96/97 Newcastle
Man Utd
95/96
Everton
Man Utd
94/95
Man Utd
Blackburn
So in the last ten years a team has never, repeat, never won the Charity Shield and
gone on to win the league. In fact in the history of the Premiership, only Man Utd have done it, in the 93/94 season. It has
become so difficult to achieve both trophies that maybe they should make it an official competition, count it as a major trophy
- I mean, no-one's gonna win the double with it are they? Certainly not this season, Arsenal may have romped home with it
back in August, but they're well out of the title race now.
So, is this all mere coincidence or is there something behind it all? You could say
that winning the trophy pits too much expectation on a team too early in the season. You could say that as it's nearly always
between two big clubs, fans and the media will be thinking "Well if they can beat them, they can beat anyone". You could say
that psychologically, the winning team will think they've got one trophy under their belts, no need to worry too much about
the other four.
You could say all of this...but you'd be kidding yourself. No-one takes the Charity
Shield seriously enough for it too affect their season, not the teams in it, not the managers, not the media and not the fans.
But they should.
Because although there is no relation between the two facts, superstitions DO affect
teams. If a team goes into the match thinking "if we win this, we'll lose the league." and then they DO win it, somewhere
in the back of their mind they're going to be resigned to defeat in the league.
So managers should take the game seriously. They should hype it up, focus all their
training on it, put their worst team out and try their very best to lose the Charity Shield. It's the only way forward.